Brambles Outlook Improving

Tuesday, March 29 2011

Brambles Outlook Improving

Brambles is a company that has struggled in recent years.  Key issues that have overhung the company include:

  •  The macro environment in the US where retailers have reduced the amount of stock they have carried.
  • The former CEO of the US business left, raised capital and formed a competitor (iGPS) that offered plastic pallets.  iGPS has won around 20% market share.

While the macro environment has been difficult Brambles has remained a strong business in our view.   It earns a large profit margin, a good return on equity and it is difficult to replicate its business.  It is operating in a range of new markets such as India and China which offers a strong long term growth opportunity.

The outlook for Brambles is now improving.   We see three factors driving this improvement:

  •  A pick up in the US economy meaning confidence is improving and retailers are beginning to restock.
  • Brambles have purchased a company called IFCO which extends Brambles offering towards a broader range of pallets.  It also adds around 10% to earnings per share and enables it to compete with plastic pallet offerings.
  • Their key competitor in the US (iGPS) is in trouble. Their strategy included a very noisy marketing / PR campaign designed to create momentum.  The problem was the economics of their business did not really stack up with the expensive plastic pallets being sold too cheaply.  iGPS have hit a road block with the fire retardant used in the plastic being a carcinogenic.  This has been banned in 12 States as well as by influential retailer Walmart.  The CEO (and founder) and CFO have been sacked, we understand the company is running out of money and as a result the service standards are dropping.  We think this is very good news for Brambles.  iGPS have around 20% share of the contestable market. Brambles used to earn 40% profit margins but is currently forecast to earn only 23% profit margin. With iGPS exiting we think the margin potential increases as does the PE rating the company deserves (given it highlights the strong barriers to entry in the pallet business).

 

Disclaimer

The website is owned and operated by DNR AFSL Pty Ltd (AFSL 301658) (“Dalton Nicol Reid”) having its registered office at Level 14, 388 Queen Street, Brisbane, QLD 4000.

The content of this website is intended for Australian residents only (RG 162.44).

* Whilst perhaps not strictly an Internet Discussion Site (“IDS”) as defined in Regulatory Guideline RG 162 as investors and or other third parties are unable to leave comments on the site, the information on this site is so provided being mindful of the requirements and intended purposes of RG 162 and Consultation Paper 104.

Information about ASIC IDS guidelines and other relevant information about investing may be obtained from the ASIC website at:

https://www.fido.gov.au/asic/asic.nsf/byheadline/AD09-33+ASIC+reviews+policy+on+internet+discussion+sites?openDocument.

 

Not Investment Advice

Postings are, at best, general information, not professional investment advice prepared by taking into account any individual circumstances and needs of particular investors.Therefore, before acting on the basis of what is said in a posting, you should:

  1. consider consulting a licensed adviser (ASIC’™s website at www.asic.gov.au has a list of licensed advisers); and
  2. visit ASIC’™s consumer website at www.fido.gov.au for general guidance about investing.

GENERAL

Dalton Nicol Reid, its associated entities, and directors and staff, may hold positions in companies, or the debt or derivative securities of companies, either on their own account or for the portfolios of investors, that are the subjects of postings on this website.

Dalton Nicol Reid is a member of FOS (https://www.fos.org.au/centric/home_page.jsp) which is an ASIC approved external complaints resolution scheme (RG 162.46).

The information posted on this site by Dalton Nicol Reid will be maintained and kept by Dalton Nicol Reid consistent with the requirement of RG 162.62 and* Consultation Paper 104* for a minimum of two years and may be made available to ASIC.

 

Accuracy and Currency of Information

Dalton Nicol Reid, its officers, employees, agents and associates believe that the information and material provided on this web site is correct at the time of compilation but do not warrant the accuracy or currency of that information and material. You should carefully check the date of compilation of the information and material (where relevant) to determine its currency. Save for statutory liability which cannot be excluded, Dalton Nicol Reid, its officers, employees, agents and associates disclaim all responsibility for any loss or damage which any person may suffer from reliance on the information and material on this web site or any opinion, conclusion or recommendation in the information and material whether the loss or damage is caused by any fault or negligence on the part of Dalton Nicol Reid (including its officers, employees, agents and associates) or otherwise.

 

Loss or Damage to your Systems

Dalton Nicol Reid will not be liable for any loss or damage from any cause to your system or web site, or to people linking to this material from your web site, caused by or in connection with the use or link to this material. Any such loss or damage will be your responsibility. Dalton Nicol Reid advises you to take your own precautions in relation to protecting your system or web site from malfunction or viruses.

 

Copyright

Copyright in all the material, works, software, design, text, graphics and code contained on or used to produce the web site and in the information and material and in its arrangement or layout, is owned or licensed by Dalton Nicol Reid or its associates unless otherwise indicated. Other than as permitted below, your use of anything in which Dalton Nicol Reid or its associates own copyright is governed by the copyright laws of Australia and its international treaties with other countries.

You are permitted to save or print a copy of the web site solely for your own information, research or study, but only if you do not modify the copy and you include the copyright notice “© Dalton Nicol Reid Pty Ltd. ” on the copy. You may not copy, publish, distribute, create works from or commercially exploit the content of this web site for any other purpose.

Print this article